Depletion of Key Resources

[moguitar]

Article by Peter Goodchild with my commentary below

http://www.wiserearth.org/article/e0...e1eec7a398cdfd

[moguitar]

Migrations from overpopulation's effects have been going on for 40 years. The first resource to go is economic---jobs, money for living. Economic refugees flock to idiot countries that welcome worse overpopulation for lower wages and bigger profits of the few. So the US has gone from <1% hispanics to 23% hispanics counting illegals, and 0% moslems to 2% in a place contrary to their kill cult book. Europe has been inundated by moslems and poor africans in the same manner. They are also losing their identity, language, and culture to overbreeding foreigners.

[moguitar]

According to reports 35% of people right now are short on food and water, and the population is expected to rise to 9 billion by 2050. So without depletion of key resources and aggravation of climate fluctuation, over half the population would then be short on food and water. However, there WILL be quite substantial reductions in key resources and aggravation from climate fluctuation. Everything I learned in exponential math and ecological studies indicates a huge crash. Cascading region to region, country to country, around the world and over a period of a generation or less. Climate change playing hell on the survivors in remote regions.

[Richardevans]

Ouch. 9 billion by 2050. That leaves a lot to question whether planet earth would really live that long. I mean, as population increases, so does pollution- exponentially!

[moguitar]

I doubt the population will reach 9 billion or even make it to 2050 before the peak of the crash in the curve similar to by my name. Death rates will increase and birth rates decrease as key resources are depleted or pollution ruins them. Life expectancy will also go down as the economy of the world is affected to the point of depression worse than the 1930s.
The Earth will go on. Long term pollution will take at least 50K years to be absorbed in the natural system. Soil and water will take thousands of years to be regenerated or aquifers that can be filled back up recharged. After the great die off of people will come the worst of AGW and extinction of much of the life we know.
In the longer term, other life will fill the Earth, with little remaining of the signs of humanity. Earth didn't need us, but we needed the Earth. The few who can understand and live sustainably get taken down with the over-breeding, polluting, greedy, and mostly stupid majority of the human population.
Efforts with co-operative eco-villages, underground fortresses, and remote villages of mono-diet subhumans will last a while, until support eco-systems are poisoned or fail from thermageddon. Most likely, the ice age cycle will be disrupted for at least one full cycle of 100K years.

[moguitar]

There will be a few large aquifers left, but the energy to pump them will require nuclear reactors. The major food source ones in the USA and India will be gone.
Cheap oil is a key resource to agricultural production and distribution, and will be gone. A good climate for trustworthy crop production will be gone. The oceanic fisheries will be mostly fished out and polluted. Unpolluted surface water will be scarce. Soils will be down to minimums and in other places below the minimum depth and nutritional/biopic health to grow foods.
In essence, total food production/distribution ability of Earth will be down 35 to 50% from 1990 level, while the population will be up 54%. Cascading regional collapses must occur, spreading to the areas nearby.
Less than 40 years away from now. People may think that is a long time, but it is not................

[moguitar]

Originally Posted by moguitar

Article by Peter Goodchild with my commentary below

http://www.wiserearth.org/article/e0...e1eec7a398cdfd

This thread is so important it must be bumped back up!!

[moguitar]

Originally Posted by Richardevans

Ouch. 9 billion by 2050. That leaves a lot to question whether planet earth would really live that long. I mean, as population increases, so does pollution- exponentially!

9 billion and 2050 are on the outside rim of the tube of probability, if you think of the general curve by my name as not being a line, but a tube of probability. The inside rim of this tube would be the late 2030s and a population of 8.1 billion or so. The middle is a population of 8.5 billion and crash in the second half of the 2040s.
The dotted carrying capacity line has already started down and it accelerating. This line is how many can be supported with the way we are doing things now. That way is causing depletion of resources and pollution far beyond what the eco-system can naturally absorb. That pollution is global and part of it is the HGHGs causing malevolent climate change.
People, driven by present economic necessities, do not want a declining population with a large percentage of old non-workers. So even China has let up on its one child policy. Europe and the US have let in crowds of third world over-breeding immigrants who will destroy the existing cultures, religions, and governments. All so the people of now can keep living comfortably. No one looks generations ahead or cares, and most of the over-breeders are of the lowest spectrum of IQ who are incapable of understanding or living sustainably. They make up the majority of humanity while the smart, strong, intelligent and good looking ones favored by evolution in the past, and who can think ahead and are working on living sustainably, are the small minority. They will get pulled down with the greedy and dumb to extinction, along with most species, as depletion of resources and malevolent climate change and heavy pollution affect their ecosystems.
The aquifers that are uncapped by impermeable rock, will gradually recharge. Some will have heavy metal pollution and be unusable. Eventually the surface plastics will decay, and over a very long period soil will rebuild, the atmospheric CO2 from humans and from the methane release reaction caused by human CO2, and nuclear waste, will be absorbed and rendered harmless to life. New species will adapt to the new surroundings many years after this great extinction caused by man.
Will there be a species who can understand geology and physics be there to study our fossils? Will they understand ecology and not deplete key resources? Or, like us, only be controlled by catastrophe?